Stat 250, Section 003, Homework Assignment 12 (Due 4/28/99 in class)
- 1) Please work on the following textbook exercises in
Moore:
- Exercise 4.42, 4.44, 4.46, 4.47, 4.48, 4.50 (2 points each)
- 2) In Quiz 3, Question 1, Part 3, several students suggested an approach
that is different from my solution to conduct a simple random sample (SRS).
Variant 1: Use the random digits table B and assume that the 2-digit numbers
represent the age (we pretend that we know the ages of all blood donors
in our population of size 40). If a 2-digit random number represents a
valid age that exists in the population, we include the first
person of this age into our sample. If the same 2-digit random number
occurs again, we include the second person of this age into
our sample. For example, in our population, the age 37 occurs three
times, the age 23 occurs two times, etc. On the first occurrance of a
37 in the random digit table, the first person of age 37 will be
included. On the second orrurrance the second person.
We continue until we have a sample of size n.
Variant 2: Similar to Variant 1. However, if an age occurs more then once
in our population, we would use another random digit to randomly select
the person among all persons that are of the same previously determined age.
The person selected in this 2-step procedure will be included into our sample.
We continue until we have a sample of size n.
Starting at line 101, we would end up with ages
19 (not in population), 22 (include this person),
39 (include this person), 50 (include this person),
34 (include this person), etc.
The big question now is - which of these variants represent a simple
random sample? Explain! To support your reasoning, you should assume
that we just have a population of size 3 of ages 22, 37, and 37,
i.e., person 1: 22, person 2: 37, and person 3: 37. We are
interested in a SRS of size 2. Indicate the probabilities
to end up with a sample that contains persons 1 & 2,
persons 1 & 3, or persons 2 & 3 under Variant 1 and Variant 2,
respectively. So, which variant represents a SRS?
(5 points)
- 3) In Quiz 3, Question 1, Part 6, what is the chance
to end up with individuals 05, 20, 07, 37, and 13
(according to my ordering in the solutions)
in a SRS of size 5 out of
a population of 40. And what is the chance to end up
with individuals 05, 20, 07, 37, and 15 in a SRS of size 5 out of this same
population?
As we have seen, a minimum mean age of 22 years is impossible.
Based on your answers above, how likely is an outcome of an
average age of 23.2 years?
(3 points)