If we count smooth second-generation hybrids, it is like drawing 7,324 times from a box containing 3 ones and 1 zero. The average of the box is 3/4, and the SD is 0.433, so the EV for the count is 7,324*.75=5,493 and the SE is sqrt{7,324}*.433=37. Mendel was off by only 5,493-5,474=19. The normal curve tells us that with an SE of 37, the chance of total error between -19 and 19 is about 38%.