4A: Beyond the Basics: A Fuller Picture of Energy Tradeoffs

Stephanie Frohman, Anna McEntire, & Phillip Fernberg | Chapter Four: Energy

Glen Canyon Dam | Michelle Smith

TAKEAWAY

While cost, reliability, and emissions often dominate the debate, policymakers must also weigh social, environmental, and system design factors that shape the true impacts of Utah’s energy choices.

Utah’s Operation Gigawatt has set an ambitious goal: doubling the state’s electricity production by 2035. Meeting this target requires a careful balancing act among diverse generation sources, each carrying unique environmental and economic tradeoffs. In the short term, coal and natural gas remain reliable baseload resources, but they produce air pollution and consume water. Solar and wind are inexpensive and clean but are land intensive and require battery storage to balance intermittency. Looking ahead to longer term options, geothermal provides the promise of lower-emission baseload power but only where geologic conditions allow, requiring significant transmission investment. Nuclear offers carbon-free baseload capacity, but poses challenges in cost, permitting and development timeline, potential water use, and radioactive waste disposal.

Operation Gigawatt aims to provide electricity that is clean, affordable, reliable and secure. To succeed, policymakers must weigh not only economics, baseload capability, and air pollution but also a wide array of additional considerations regarding land use impacts, water demands, transmission requirements, grid balancing, and public acceptance. Additionally, since power demand varies throughout the day and throughout the year, they must consider both “always on” sources and dispatchable sources that can be turned off and on quickly and affordably to meet peak demands.

As a starting point for deeper evaluation, Figure 4.A.1 provides a simplified comparison across the six major electricity modalities most likely to be developed at utility scale in Utah over the next decade. At Utah State University, researchers are working with students to expand and validate this model, developing a one-stop, easy-to-understand matrix that policymakers can use to compare electricity options holistically. The goal is not to prescribe one path, but to clarify tradeoffs so that energy planning aligns with Utah’s growth, environmental limits, and long-term prosperity.

The goal is not to prescribe one path, but to clarify tradeoffs so that energy planning aligns with Utah’s growth, environmental limits, and long-term prosperity.


Figure 4.A.1 Electricity Generation Tradeoffs

Type Development Cost Baseload Capable Dispatchable Air Pollution Water Demand Land Use
Coal Medium-High Yes Medium Medium-High High Medium
Natural Gas Medium Yes High Medium Medium Medium
Wind Low-Medium No With Battery Very Low Very Low High
Solar (PV) Low-Medium No With Battery Very Low Very Low High
Geothermal Medium-High Yes Medium Very Low Low-Medium Medium
Nuclear High Yes Medium Very Low Medium-High Medium-Low

While all thermoelectric sources can be dispatchable, some are more costly and have more environmental impacts when operated at lower efficiency.